Examining the effects of the Zangezur Corridor on Iran, identifying the challenges and opportunities associated with this corridor, and proposing strategies to strengthen Iran’s regional influence.
The Caucasus is a strategically significant region and a focal point of competition among major powers. The Zangezur Corridor, as a key link between Asia and Europe, has the potential to reshape economic, geopolitical, and security dynamics, particularly affecting Iran.
Impact on the Balance of Power in the South Caucasus
The corridor strengthens the Turkey–Azerbaijan axis, reduces Russian influence, and facilitates the involvement of extra-regional actors. This shift in power may marginalize Iran economically and strategically while altering the regional balance in favor of Ankara and Baku.
Iran’s Position in Regional Equations After the Corridor
The establishment of the Zangezur Corridor is likely to reduce Iran’s share in regional transit routes, diverting trade flows away from Iranian territory and weakening its role as a key East–West connector.
Security Opportunities and Threats
The corridor poses security risks for Iran by enabling the presence of NATO and Israel near its borders, weakening Iran’s energy leverage, and potentially intensifying ethnic and internal security challenges.
Economic Impacts of the Zangezur Corridor on Iran
The corridor may reduce Iran’s transit significance by positioning Turkey and Azerbaijan as major transportation hubs, thereby undermining Iran’s role in regional trade networks.
Opportunities for Trade with the Caucasus, Russia, and Europe
Despite its challenges, the corridor could be leveraged as an opportunity if Iran adopts proactive policies, invests in complementary routes, and strengthens connectivity with neighboring regions.
Threats to Existing Iranian Corridors
If East–West routes through Turkey and Azerbaijan become dominant, Iran’s North–South Corridor may lose competitiveness, encouraging Central Asian countries to bypass Iran.
Key Strategies for Iran
- Active diplomacy to protect national interests
- Investment in parallel and complementary infrastructure
- Strengthening Iran’s role in regional transit initiatives
This study is conducted at Governance Problems System Think tank In 2026.
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