A Commentary by the Tehran Think Tank on Recent Developments in Southern Syria, Internal Clashes, and Israeli Attacks in the Region
Abstract
Bloody Unrest in Suwayda: A Local Conflict with Regional Implications
The southern Syrian province of Suwayda has recently witnessed violent clashes that began with a highway robbery and escalated into armed conflict between local Druze militias and Bedouin tribes. These clashes quickly spread to the outskirts of Suwayda city.
Syrian Army Intervention and Druze Resistance
The Syrian army intervened shortly after the outbreak but faced strong resistance from Druze militias. Prominent Druze religious leader Sheikh Hikmat al-Hijri initially called for an end to the violence, but later retracted his statement, citing government pressure and possible foreign interference.
Israeli Airstrikes and Strategic Threats
Amid the chaos, Israel launched airstrikes in the area and Prime Minister Netanyahu issued a direct warning, stating that if Syrian Golan forces took action, they would be targeted again. Eventually, the Syrian army withdrew, and a ceasefire was declared with the involvement of local Druze leaders.
Israel’s Agenda: Dividing Syria and Building Druze Ties
Israel appears to support a minimum goal of dividing Syria into autonomous zones. Suwayda could serve as a Druze buffer region. Recent cross-border visits by Druze from Syria to Israel reflect Tel Aviv’s strategic interest in expanding its influence among Golan Druze communities.
The Regime’s Continued Conflict with Minorities
The Syrian regime has repeatedly clashed with ethnic and religious minorities, including Alawites, Kurds, and now the Druze. These confrontations underscore an ongoing pattern of exclusion and conflict under Assad’s government.
Israel vs. Turkey: A Proxy Struggle
Turkey is attempting to strengthen its foothold in Syria, which Israel opposes. Despite diplomatic ties, Tel Aviv has actively blocked Turkish military advances, particularly in strategic locations like the T4 airbase. The Suwayda conflict reflects this indirect rivalry.
Foreign Pressure on Druze Leadership
Sheikh al-Hijri’s retraction suggests significant pressure from external actors, possibly linked to Israel or its affiliated militias. His past support for a technocratic Syrian state places him at odds with both the regime and external agendas.
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