Tannaz Karimi

Mechanism-Based Scenario of the Iran–U.S. Conflict

Mechanism-Based Scenario of the Iran–U.S. Conflict

This analysis examines pre-war scenarios of a potential Iran–U.S. conflict through a mechanism-based strategic foresight approach. Rather than focusing solely on outcomes, it identifies the causal mechanisms shaping conflict dynamics and strategic decision-making. Four Major Iran–U.S. War Scenarios In this part, Four major scenarios were evaluated before the conflict: These scenarios were classified into three […]

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China's Role in the New West Asia Order

China’s Role in the New West Asia Order After the Iran–Israel–U.S. Conflict

According to Dr. Hamed Vafaei, Associate Professor at the University of Tehran, China is emerging as the only major external power broadly viewed as a constructive stakeholder in West Asia’s security architecture. He argues that Beijing is well positioned to act as a balancing power and contribute to shaping a new regional order through engagement

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The Future of Iran-Iraq Relations Under Prime Minister Ali Al-Zaidi

The Future of Iran-Iraq Relations Under Prime Minister Ali Al-Zaidi

This policy dialogue on the future of Iran–Iraq relations under Prime Minister Ali Al-Zaidi was held as part of the “Neighborhood Policy Intelligence” series, organized by the Saba Think Tank in cooperation with KHANA. The session featured two main speakers: Iraq’s Security and Political Challenges Continue to Shape Bilateral Relations Speakers argued that Iraq’s post-2003

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The Strait of Hormuz Crisis Through the Lens of the "Exit Trap" Strategy

The Strait of Hormuz Crisis Through the Lens of the “Exit Trap” Strategy

Recent developments around the Strait of Hormuz reflect a broader geopolitical strategy in which one party enters an agreement while creating conditions to justify its eventual withdrawal by portraying the other side as the violator. Military, Economic, and Media Actions Were Presented as a Coordinated Strategy The simultaneous use of military pressure, economic restrictions, legal

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Private Investment in Iran: Challenges, Global Comparisons

Private Investment in Iran: Challenges, Global Comparisons

Private investment in Iran has experienced significant fluctuations since 1979, limiting its contribution to sustainable economic growth. High inflation, exchange rate volatility, and an unpredictable business environment are identified as major obstacles to long-term private investment. Institutional Reforms Are Critical to Attracting Private Capital Comparing Iran with other countries, stronger institutions, policy stability, and better

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How Iran Can Counter Negative Tourism Perceptions

How Iran Can Strengthen Its Global Tourism Brand?

Political and security narratives targeting certain countries can discourage international travel, reduce tourism revenue, and weaken a country’s global image. Official travel advisories, flight restrictions, and negative media coverage are identified as major barriers to tourism growth and foreign investment. Public Diplomacy and Market Diversification Are Key Policy Responses Strengthening media governance and expanding tourism

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Resilient Governance from the Perspective of the Martyred Leader

Resilient Governance from the Perspective of Iran’s Martyred Leader

Mousa Al-Reza Ghaemi, Governance researcher Resilient governance, as envisioned by the Martyred Leader, is more than an economic strategy to withstand sanctions. It is a comprehensive governance model built on self-reliance, national resilience, public participation, strategic foresight, and national dignity. In this framework, national strength comes from: Turning Challenges into Opportunities A defining feature of

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Ayatollah Khamenei on Iran’s Economy and National Power

How Ayatollah Khamenei Linked Iran’s Economy to National Power?

Hamidreza Fartokzadeh In The late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s strategic thinking, economic policy was inseparable from national security and geopolitical competition. Economic indicators such as inflation or GDP were viewed as outcomes of Iran’s position within the global order rather than isolated policy goals. Industrial Development and Economic Independence Were Core Strategic Priorities Ayatollah

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Pooling the Financial Resources of the Iranian Diaspora

َPooling the Financial Resources of the Iranian Diaspora

In the era of globalization, diaspora engagement has become a strategic source of investment, knowledge transfer, and economic growth. By establishing effective institutional frameworks, countries can mobilize diaspora financial resources to strengthen economic resilience and support sustainable development. Global Best Practices in Diaspora Financial Engagement These cases show that dedicated institutions, supportive policies, and trust-based

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Media Double Standards Toward Iran in the Third Imposed War

Media Double Standards Toward Iran in the Third Imposed War

Geopolitical crises create opportunities for hostile media to influence public opinion through cognitive manipulation. One of the most effective techniques is the use of false media dichotomies, which promote artificial either–or choices and encourage polarized, emotion-driven judgments. This article examines the role of media dichotomization during the Third Imposed War. The Nature and Functions of

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